Why Trump’s apparent TACO via his hissy to leave the Strait of Hormuz mess to others may be a deception despite rising economic damage.
Recent Items
Wednesday, April 1, 2026
Iran War: Israel Would Thwart Trump TACO Even if Genuine; US Forces Still Arriving in Middle East as Trump to Speak This Evening; Could Strait of Hormuz Traffic Rise Meaningfully With Less Hot Conflict?
Topics: Doomsday scenarios, Economic fundamentals, Energy markets, Media watch, Middle East, Politics
Posted by Yves Smith at 6:57 am | 23 Comments »
Links 4/1/2026
Topics: Links
Posted by Yves Smith at 6:55 am | 9 Comments »
Türkiye and Other ‘Mediators’ Play Good Cop Against Iran
“Peace talks” among Türkiye, KSA, Pakistan, and Egypt try to kill Iran softly.
Topics: Doomsday scenarios, Middle East, Ridiculously obvious scams, Turkey
Posted by Conor Gallagher at 5:00 am | 6 Comments »
How Polling Failures, Gambling Legalization and Political Gridlock Paved the Way for the Explosive Rise of Prediction Markets
In the opinion of this humble blogger, prediction markets epitomize what is wrong with modern society. l
Topics: Banana republic, Dubious statistics, Free markets and their discontents, Guest Post, Income disparity, Media watch, Moral hazard, Politics, Regulations and regulators
Posted by Yves Smith at 4:17 am | 2 Comments »
Coffee Break: Armed Madhouse – The Invulnerable Golden Dome
The pursuit of an “invulnerable” missile defense system confronts technical, economic, and strategic limits. Perfect interception is unattainable, validation is inherently incomplete, and a fully realized architecture drives costs into the trillion-dollar range.
Topics: Coffee Break
Posted by Haig Hovaness at 2:00 pm | 25 Comments »
Michael Hudson and Steve Keen: How the Global Crisis Will Unfold
Michael Hudson and Steve Keen: discuss how the Iran war economic crisis will generate inflation first, and then deflation and depression.
Topics: Credit markets, Doomsday scenarios, Economic fundamentals, Energy markets, Free markets and their discontents, Guest Post, Investment outlook, Macroeconomic policy, The destruction of the middle class, The dismal science
Posted by Yves Smith at 9:55 am | 49 Comments »
Links 3/31/2026
Topics: Links
Posted by Yves Smith at 6:59 am | 63 Comments »
Iran War: Trump Threatens Destruction of Iran Electric Generation and Oil Wells Even as WSJ Reports Temporary TACO on Trying to Force Open Strait of Hormuz
Today’s Iran war update: WSJ – Trump is trying to rearrange the deck chairs on the Titanic by not opening the Strait now but still fighting
Topics: Doomsday scenarios, Economic fundamentals, Energy markets, Media watch, Middle East, Politics
Posted by Yves Smith at 6:57 am | 202 Comments »
Where Does Russia’s Just-in-Time Energy Lifeline Leave Cuba?
“We cannot be indifferent to the desperate situation that Cubans are experiencing today,” said Dmitry Peskov.
Topics: Guest Post
Posted by Nick Corbishley at 6:45 am | 9 Comments »
Five Reasons Why the US Declined To Enforce Its De Facto Blockade on Cuba for Russia
Cuba gets a bit of an energy break thanks to a Russian tanker, but this delivery won’t change outcomes.
Topics: Banana republic, Economic fundamentals, Energy markets, Guest Post, Politics, Russia
Posted by Yves Smith at 5:24 am | 8 Comments »
Coffee Break: Moral Imbeciles Lead U.S. to War
The moral imbeciles ruling the United States have blundered into disaster because they are incapable of recognizing the stakes of the game.
Topics: Coffee Break
Posted by Nat Wilson Turner at 2:00 pm | 40 Comments »
Drillers See Triple-Digit Crude and Hit the Brakes
Why drillers won’t be sucker punched by increasing production in response to a very large price increase that may be short-lived.
Topics: Doomsday scenarios, Economic fundamentals, Energy markets, Free markets and their discontents, Guest Post, Investment outlook
Posted by Yves Smith at 10:49 am | 10 Comments »
Links 3/30/2026
Topics: Links
Posted by Conor Gallagher at 6:55 am | 92 Comments »
Iran War: US/Israel Escalation and Forceful Iran Retaliation Continue as Trump Says He May Take Iran’s Oil and Pakistan Hosts Talks With Nobody; Mr. Market Finally Waking Up as Brent Rises to $115
Today’s Iran war update: Trump fantasies deepen as the US suffers irreparable damage to its military and the global economy takes body blows.
Topics: Doomsday scenarios, Economic fundamentals, Energy markets, Media watch, Middle East, Politics
Posted by Yves Smith at 6:54 am | 271 Comments »
Europe Tries Magical Thinking with Algerian Gas—Again
And same as the last crises, the math still doesn’t add up.
Topics: Energy markets, Europe, Middle East, Russia
Posted by Conor Gallagher at 5:00 am | 10 Comments »



